Nets at Mavericks ·
Nets vs Mavericks Prediction, Tips and Player Props – 9 Nov 2026
Final: Nets 93, Mavericks 130. We had the Mavericks at 71% and the Mavericks won, as predicted. Our projected score was Nets 108, Mavericks 114. Against the closing line (Mavericks −7.5) the Mavericks won against the spread. The total went under the bookmakers' 223.5 (223); we had 222.
Our model makes the Mavericks 71% favourites at home on . The bookmakers have Mavericks −7.5 with the total at 223.5. The Nets will be missing Mikel Brown Jr., Egor Demin, Joshua Jefferson, Grant Nelson and Ben Saraf. The Mavericks will be missing Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea and Dereck Lively II. The Nets are on the second night of a back-to-back while the Mavericks are on one day's rest. The Nets have won 2 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. The Mavericks have won 3 of their last 5 and are 4–1 against the spread over that stretch. They last met on Sun 8 Nov: Mavericks 130–93.
Prediction
Model numbers. Projected score Nets 108, Mavericks 114: a margin of Mavericks by 6.7 against the bookmakers' Mavericks −7.5; total 222 against 223.5. Game-level model numbers are shown for context and aren't graded. Our graded record is player props: see the track record. Game trends is where the game-level value is.
Injuries and outs
- Nets Out: Mikel Brown Jr., Egor Demin, Joshua Jefferson, Grant Nelson and Ben Saraf
- Mavericks Out: Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea and Dereck Lively II
Form and rest
Nets on the second night of a back-to-back
- L 121–124 at Hawks, Sat 7 Nov · won ATS
- W 114–104 v Hornets, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- L 90–103 at Knicks, Mon 2 Nov · won ATS
- W 98–90 at Pacers, Sun 1 Nov · won ATS
- L 94–110 v Pistons, Fri 30 Oct · lost ATS
Mavericks on one day's rest
- W 112–100 v Jazz, Fri 6 Nov · won ATS
- L 111–112 at Spurs, Wed 4 Nov · won ATS
- L 100–115 v Kings, Mon 2 Nov · lost ATS
- W 116–111 v Rockets, Fri 30 Oct · won ATS
- W 120–96 v Thunder, Wed 28 Oct · won ATS
Game trends in this situation
Each side in this game's situation, this season. Change the situation or date range.
Nets
- Nets away, as underdog, after a loss, on no rest 0–1 straight up, 0–1 ATS, overs 0–1, -29.5 v spread n=1
- Nets away 1–5 straight up, 5–1 ATS, overs 3–3, +1.2 v spread n=6
- Nets as underdog 2–8 straight up, 6–4 ATS, overs 5–5, -1.5 v spread n=10
- Nets on no rest 0–3 straight up, 1–2 ATS, overs 1–2, -16.5 v spread n=3
- Nets after a loss 2–6 straight up, 4–4 ATS, overs 4–4, -2.6 v spread n=8
Mavericks
- Mavericks at home, as favourite, after a win, on 1 day's rest 1–0 straight up, 1–0 ATS, overs 0–1, +29.5 v spread n=1
- Mavericks at home 4–2 straight up, 4–2 ATS, overs 1–5, +8.5 v spread n=6
- Mavericks as favourite 2–1 straight up, 2–1 ATS, overs 0–3, +4.2 v spread n=3
- Mavericks on 1 day's rest 6–1 straight up, 7–0 ATS, overs 1–6, +17.4 v spread n=7
- Mavericks after a win 3–3 straight up, 3–3 ATS, overs 2–4, +6.2 v spread n=6
Key players
Nets
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. | 25/9/1 · 26/10/0 · 18/5/2 · 23/9/3 · 13/7/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Julius Randle | 19/7/8 · 22/3/4 · 21/11/2 · 20/5/6 · 15/8/3 | — | — | — | — |
| Nolan Traore | 19/1/2 · 16/4/2 · 17/3/4 · 16/2/6 · 9/2/2 | — | — | — | — |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 12/10/13 · 6/5/8 · 4/6/3 · 15/13/4 · 3/7/1 | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 18/1/3 · 18/2/4 · 13/2/3 · 10/0/4 · 17/5/5 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Mavericks
| Player | Last 5 | Points v line | Rebounds v line | Assists v line | Threes v line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington 35 min predicted | 26/6/1 · 21/10/3 · 12/5/1 · 3/10/1 · 18/9/0 | 3/5 over 14.5 | 3/5 over 6.5 | — | 4/5 over 1.5 |
| Cooper Flagg 35 min predicted | 21/10/7 · 19/10/5 · 17/4/6 · 33/9/6 · 26/5/8 | 2/5 over 25.5 | 3/5 over 7.5 | 2/5 over 6.5 | 1/5 over 1.5 |
| Naji Marshall 30 min predicted | 7/1/5 · 22/5/3 · 5/2/7 · 10/4/5 · 15/4/6 | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Gafford 23 min predicted | 7/1/1 · 2/4/1 · 20/7/0 · 18/7/2 · 7/11/2 | 2/5 over 9.5 | 3/5 over 6.5 | — | — |
| Max Christie 23 min predicted | 0/1/1 · 0/2/0 · 2/1/0 · 11/5/2 · 11/5/3 | — | — | — | — |
Last 5: points/rebounds/assists, most recent first. "Over" counts how many of those games cleared tonight's line.
Meetings this season
- Sun 8 Nov: Nets 93, Mavericks 130
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